California City leans slightly Republican by roughly 14 points: about 43% of voters vote Democratic and 57% Republican.
About 43% of adults in California City typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in California City, ~18% vote Democratic, ~24% Republican, and ~58% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How California City compares
Among cities within 25 miles, California City leans more Republican than 3 of 11 neighbors.
California City runs about 34 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while California City is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within California City. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+33) and the west side is the least Republican-leaning (R+8), a spread of about 26 points.
Why California City leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for California City, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 13% of adults in California City hold a bachelor's degree, about 22 points below the California average of 35%. Dense places usually vote Democratic, but California City runs against that pattern. California City runs against the grain of California, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with low colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a lower rate; California City, CA sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in California City looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. California City is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 41% of households in California City rent, about 16 points above the U.S. average of 25%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 30% of adults in California City report food insecurity, above 95% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- North Edwards, CA R+40
- Cantil, CA R+35
- Edwards, CA R+12
- Mojave, CA R+17
- Edwards AFB, CA R+12
- Edwards Air Force Base, CA R+10
- Desert Lake, CA R+45
- Boron, CA R+35
- Monolith, CA R+47
- Rosamond, CA R+19
Cities with Similar Populations
- Lafayette, TN R+67
- Islip, NY R+20
- Dunkirk, NY Even
- Cloquet, MN R+4
- Corydon, IN R+46
- Salida, CA R+17
- Palmetto Estates, FL D+11
- Benson, NC R+38
- Sandpoint, ID R+29
- Canton, IL R+18
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.