Mojave leans Republican by roughly 18 points: about 41% of voters vote Democratic and 59% Republican.
About 37% of adults in Mojave typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Mojave, ~15% vote Democratic, ~22% Republican, and ~63% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Mojave compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Mojave leans more Republican than 5 of 13 neighbors.
Mojave runs about 37 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while Mojave is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Mojave. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+44) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+9), a spread of about 35 points.
Why Mojave leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Mojave, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Mojave votes against the grain of California. California leans Democratic overall, while Mojave runs about 37 points more Republican. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Mojave sits in the bottom quarter (about 8%, below 96% of cities).
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with low colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Mojave, CA sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Mojave looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Mojave is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 47%, about 15 points below the California average of 62%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 58% of households in Mojave rent, about 33 points above the U.S. average of 25%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 33% of adults in Mojave report food insecurity, above 97% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Rosamond, CA R+19
- Monolith, CA R+47
- Willow Springs, CA R+41
- California City, CA R+14
- Edwards, CA R+12
- Edwards AFB, CA R+12
- Edwards Air Force Base, CA R+10
- Tehachapi, CA R+29
- Golden Hills, CA R+37
- North Edwards, CA R+40
Cities with Similar Populations
- Hubertus, WI R+35
- Sterrett, AL R+51
- Lawndale, NC R+54
- Ashburnham, MA Even
- Rumford, ME R+22
- Elkins, AR R+40
- Homosassa, FL R+45
- Edmonton, KY R+62
- Sylvania, GA R+12
- Kayenta, AZ D+49
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.