Edwards AFB leans slightly Republican by roughly 12 points: about 44% of voters vote Democratic and 56% Republican.
About 32% of adults in Edwards AFB typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Edwards AFB, ~14% vote Democratic, ~18% Republican, and ~68% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Edwards AFB compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Edwards AFB leans more Republican than 3 of 12 neighbors.
Edwards AFB runs about 32 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while Edwards AFB is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Edwards AFB leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Edwards AFB, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 88% of households in Edwards AFB are family households, about 21 points above the U.S. average of 67%. Dense places usually vote Democratic, but Edwards AFB runs against that pattern. Edwards AFB runs against the grain of California, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; Edwards AFB, CA sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in Edwards AFB looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 96% of households in Edwards AFB rent, about 71 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Edwards Air Force Base, CA R+10
- Edwards, CA R+12
- North Edwards, CA R+40
- California City, CA R+14
- Rosamond, CA R+19
- Mojave, CA R+17
- Desert Lake, CA R+45
- Boron, CA R+35
- Lancaster, CA D+14
- Willow Springs, CA R+41
Cities with Similar Populations
- Pinewood, SC R+7
- Oriental, NC R+27
- Alviso, CA D+24
- Reedville, VA R+30
- Tunica Resorts, MS D+37
- Nanjemoy, MD R+20
- North Jackson, OH R+43
- Ontonagon, MI R+27
- Mount Sidney, VA R+45
- Central City, PA R+57
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.