Caplinger Mills is a Republican stronghold. About 14% of voters here vote Democratic and 86% Republican.
About 80% of adults in Caplinger Mills typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Caplinger Mills, ~11% vote Democratic, ~69% Republican, and ~20% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Caplinger Mills compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Caplinger Mills leans more Republican than 38 of 43 neighbors.
Caplinger Mills runs about 53 points more Republican than Missouri as a whole.
Why Caplinger Mills leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Caplinger Mills, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 13% of adults in Caplinger Mills hold a bachelor's degree, about 9 points below the Missouri average of 22%. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 79% of households in Caplinger Mills are family households, above 88% of cities.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Caplinger Mills, MO sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Caplinger Mills looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 91% of households in Caplinger Mills own their home, about 13 points above the Missouri average of 78%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Umber, MO R+65
- Stockton, MO R+63
- Wagoner, MO R+66
- Umber View Heights, MO R+61
- Humansville, MO R+67
- Filley, MO R+66
- Collins, MO R+68
- Masters, MO R+66
- El Dorado Springs, MO R+64
- Fair Play, MO R+67
Cities with Similar Populations
- Perry Center, NY R+39
- Morrill, KY R+67
- High Point, AL R+74
- Esofea, WI R+18
- Northwoods Beach, WI R+13
- Twin Rocks, PA R+55
- Stringtown, WV R+63
- Williams, MN R+44
- Nunapitchuk, AK D+23
- McNabb, IL R+35
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Missouri Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.