Carlos, TX Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Carlos

Carlos is a Republican stronghold. About 14% of voters here vote Democratic and 86% Republican.

 
Carlos, TX block-group political-lean map
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About 81% of adults in Carlos typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Carlos, ~11% vote Democratic, ~69% Republican, and ~20% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

Carlos, TX block-group voter-turnout map
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How Carlos compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Carlos leans more Republican than 28 of 30 neighbors.

Carlos runs about 57 points more Republican than Texas as a whole.

Why Carlos leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Carlos, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 75% of households in Carlos are family households, about 8 points above the U.S. average of 67%.

Population density and Republican lean

Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Carlos, TX sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.

Why turnout in Carlos looks the way it does

Turnout in Carlos sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Cities with Similar Populations

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Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.