Carolina is a Republican stronghold. About 15% of voters here vote Democratic and 85% Republican.
About 91% of adults in Carolina typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Carolina, ~14% vote Democratic, ~77% Republican, and ~9% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Carolina compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Carolina leans more Republican than 27 of 50 neighbors.
Carolina runs about 47 points more Republican than Mississippi as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Carolina. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+87) and the northwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+62), a spread of about 25 points.
Why Carolina leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Carolina, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 91% of residents in Carolina drive to work alone, about 17 points above the U.S. average of 74%. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Carolina sits in the bottom quarter (about 10%, below 93% of cities).
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; Carolina, MS sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in Carolina looks the way it does
Turnout in Carolina sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Nettleton, MS R+44
- Bigbee, MS R+85
- Richmond, MS R+67
- Van Buren, MS R+84
- New Salem, MS R+79
- Smithville, MS R+81
- Plantersville, MS R+41
- Amory, MS R+50
- Hatley, MS R+80
- Tilden, MS R+80
Cities with Similar Populations
- Clam Gulch, AK R+32
- Kirby, AR R+81
- Brindle Town, NC R+61
- McFarland, KS R+55
- Summerfield, TX R+52
- Stafford Springs, MS D+48
- Martinton, IL R+52
- Maysel, WV R+62
- Leonard, MN R+57
- Ina, MI R+52
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Mississippi Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.