Van Buren is a Republican stronghold. About 8% of voters here vote Democratic and 92% Republican.
About 89% of adults in Van Buren typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Van Buren, ~7% vote Democratic, ~82% Republican, and ~11% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Van Buren compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Van Buren leans more Republican than 42 of 54 neighbors.
Van Buren runs about 61 points more Republican than Mississippi as a whole.
Why Van Buren leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Van Buren, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In Van Buren, more than 99% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 28 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 13% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 6 points below the Mississippi average of 19%. Rural areas vote Republican, and Van Buren sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 5%, below 78% of cities). A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 83% of households in Van Buren are family households, above 95% of cities.
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; Van Buren, MS sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in Van Buren looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 92% of households in Van Buren own their home, about 15 points above the Mississippi average of 77%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Dorsey, MS R+83
- Fulton, MS R+66
- Tilden, MS R+80
- New Salem, MS R+79
- Carolina, MS R+70
- Clay, MS R+82
- Richmond, MS R+67
- Mantachie, MS R+85
- Turon, MS R+81
Cities with Similar Populations
- Zion, IA R+50
- Newkirk, IA R+72
- Wingate, MS R+70
- Wintersville, PA R+57
- Epsie, MT R+72
- Newburg, MN R+30
- East McDonough, NY R+44
- Olive, MD Even
- Eagle Mills, AR R+43
- Patsville, NV R+34
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Mississippi Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.