Caroline Center leans Democratic by roughly 22 points: about 61% of voters vote Democratic and 39% Republican.
About 77% of adults in Caroline Center typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Caroline Center, ~47% vote Democratic, ~30% Republican, and ~23% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Caroline Center compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Caroline Center leans more Democratic than 90 of 106 neighbors.
Caroline Center runs about 10 points more Democratic than New York as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Caroline Center. The east side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+32) and the northeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+4), a spread of about 28 points.
Why Caroline Center leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Caroline Center, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 50% of adults in Caroline Center hold a bachelor's degree, about 21 points above the U.S. average of 28%.
High-school completion, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine high-school-completion-heavy adults and a rural land-use pattern tend to turn out at a higher rate, as Caroline Center, NY does.
Why turnout in Caroline Center looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Caroline Center is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 70%, about 10 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 96% of adults in Caroline Center have completed high school, above 85% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Brooktondale, NY D+32
- Slaterville Springs, NY D+46
- Speedsville, NY R+28
- Ketchumville, NY R+28
- Harford, NY R+34
- Richford, NY R+40
- Willseyville, NY R+21
- Berkshire, NY R+34
- Jenksville, NY R+37
Cities with Similar Populations
- Whites, MS R+10
- Fernwood, MS D+41
- Mountain, WV R+65
- Wayland, OH R+46
- Gunder, IA R+41
- Spirit, WI R+41
- Sawyer, KS R+71
- Lottie, LA R+34
- Moorland, IA R+52
- Point Cedar, AR R+68
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.