Carpenter leans heavily Democratic by roughly 50 points: about 75% of voters vote Democratic and 25% Republican.
About 67% of adults in Carpenter typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Carpenter, ~50% vote Democratic, ~17% Republican, and ~33% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Carpenter compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Carpenter is the least Democratic-leaning.
Carpenter runs about 51 points more Democratic than Michigan as a whole. Michigan is roughly evenly split, and Carpenter sits clearly on the Democratic side.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Carpenter. The northwest side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+64) and the southwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+39), a spread of about 26 points.
Why Carpenter leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Carpenter, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Carpenter votes against the grain of Michigan. Michigan is roughly evenly split, while Carpenter runs about 51 points more Democratic. High college attainment predicts Democratic voting, and Carpenter sits in the top quarter (about 59%, above 80% of neighborhoods).
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Carpenter, Ann Arbor, MI sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Carpenter looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Carpenter is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 71%, about 11 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Bryant Pattengill East, Ann Arbor, MI D+64
- Downtown Pittsfield, Ann Arbor, MI D+59
- Bryant Pattengill West, Ann Arbor, MI D+55
- Burns Park, Ann Arbor, MI D+69
- Angells, Ann Arbor, MI D+69
- Bach, Ann Arbor, MI D+72
- King, Ann Arbor, MI D+58
- Ypsilanti Historic District, Ypsilanti, MI D+65
- Eberwhite, Ann Arbor, MI D+79
- Dicken, Ann Arbor, MI D+71
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- White Bridge, Nashville, TN D+20
- Beverly Woods, Charlotte, NC D+7
- Midtown District, San Diego, CA D+32
- Bleachery, Waltham, MA D+42
- Girvin, Jacksonville, FL R+27
- Diamond Hill-Jarvis, Fort Worth, TX D+20
- North Clackamas, Oatfield, OR D+13
- White City, Fort Pierce, FL R+26
- Lake Balboa, Van Nuys, CA D+32
- The Woods at Mill Valley, Marysville, OH R+23
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Michigan Department of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.