Midtown District leans heavily Democratic by roughly 32 points: about 66% of voters vote Democratic and 34% Republican.
About 54% of adults in Midtown District typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Midtown District, ~36% vote Democratic, ~18% Republican, and ~46% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Midtown District compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Midtown District leans more Democratic than 4 of 23 neighbors.
Midtown District runs about 12 points more Democratic than California as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Midtown District. The east side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+41) and the south side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+24), a spread of about 17 points.
Why Midtown District leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Midtown District. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; Midtown District, San Diego, CA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Midtown District looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 77% of households in Midtown District rent, about 52 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout, and about 9% of homes in Midtown District have more than one occupant per room, above 89% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Roseville, San Diego, CA D+30
- Loma Portal, San Diego, CA D+38
- Mission Hills-San Diego, San Diego, CA D+42
- Middletown, San Diego, CA D+47
- Ocean Beach, San Diego, CA D+43
- Wooded Area, San Diego, CA D+25
- Moreno Mission, San Diego, CA D+40
- Little Italy, San Diego, CA D+40
- Park West, San Diego, CA D+54
- Columbia San Diego, San Diego, CA D+37
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Bleachery, Waltham, MA D+42
- Girvin, Jacksonville, FL R+27
- North Clackamas, Oatfield, OR D+13
- Carpenter, Ann Arbor, MI D+50
- White City, Fort Pierce, FL R+26
- White Bridge, Nashville, TN D+20
- Fairview, Allentown, PA D+23
- Beverly Woods, Charlotte, NC D+7
- Diamond Hill-Jarvis, Fort Worth, TX D+20
- South Lorain, Lorain, OH D+21
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.