Carrizozo leans Republican by roughly 22 points: about 39% of voters vote Democratic and 61% Republican.
About 66% of adults in Carrizozo typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Carrizozo, ~26% vote Democratic, ~40% Republican, and ~34% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Carrizozo compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Carrizozo leans more Republican than 2 of 7 neighbors.
Carrizozo runs about 29 points more Republican than New Mexico as a whole. New Mexico leans Democratic overall, while Carrizozo is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Carrizozo. The east side is the most Republican-leaning (R+55) and the southwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+15), a spread of about 40 points.
Why Carrizozo leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Carrizozo, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Carrizozo votes against the grain of New Mexico. New Mexico leans Democratic overall, while Carrizozo runs about 29 points more Republican. Rural areas vote Republican, and Carrizozo sits in the bottom quarter on density (fewer than 1%, in the bottom fraction of cities).
Population density, never-married share, and Republican lean
Places that combine low population density and a never-married-heavy adult population tend to lean Republican, as Carrizozo, NM does.
Why turnout in Carrizozo looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Carrizozo is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- White Oaks, NM R+55
- Oscura, NM R+15
- Nogal, NM R+55
- Capitan, NM R+53
- Sierra Vista, NM R+22
- Fort Stanton, NM R+41
- Alto, NM R+26
- Ruidoso, NM R+16
- Ponderosa Heights, NM D+28
- Ruidoso Downs, NM R+24
Cities with Similar Populations
- Spur, TX R+67
- Linden, IN R+55
- Burtrum, MN R+61
- Robie Creek, ID R+48
- Knightsen, CA R+21
- West Union, MN R+59
- Leadwood, MO R+55
- Germania Gardens, NJ R+3
- South Chatham, MA D+33
- Burns, WY R+64
All Local Stats
Home Services
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Mexico Secretary of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.