Carrollton leans Republican by roughly 20 points: about 40% of voters vote Democratic and 60% Republican.
About 53% of adults in Carrollton typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Carrollton, ~21% vote Democratic, ~32% Republican, and ~47% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Carrollton compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Carrollton leans more Republican than 21 of 39 neighbors.
Carrollton runs about 10 points more Democratic than Alabama as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Carrollton. The southwest side runs the most Democratic (D+3) and the southeast side runs the most Republican (R+41), a spread of about 44 points.
Why Carrollton leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Carrollton, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 7% of adults in Carrollton hold a bachelor's degree, about 13 points below the Alabama average of 20%.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Carrollton, AL sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Carrollton looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Carrollton is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 46%, about 8 points below the Alabama average of 54%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 29% of households in Carrollton rent, above 82% of cities. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 34% of adults in Carrollton report food insecurity, above 97% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Sapps, AL D+13
- Stansel, AL R+15
- Cunningham, AL D+16
- Garden, AL D+2
- Melrose, AL R+16
- Pleasant Grove Estates, AL R+49
- Pickensville, AL D+7
- McMullen, AL D+56
- Reform, AL R+23
- Aliceville, AL D+23
Cities with Similar Populations
- Auxvasse, MO R+56
- Cove City, NC R+27
- Newfoundland, PA R+40
- Axtell, TX R+67
- North Bangor, NY R+41
- Durant, IA R+35
- Ocoee, TN R+72
- Drain, OR R+38
- Maxwell, TX R+13
- East Brookfield, MA R+14
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Alabama Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.