Carrsville leans heavily Republican by roughly 42 points: about 29% of voters vote Democratic and 71% Republican.
About 88% of adults in Carrsville typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Carrsville, ~26% vote Democratic, ~62% Republican, and ~12% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Carrsville compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Carrsville leans more Republican than 43 of 46 neighbors.
Carrsville runs about 48 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Carrsville is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Carrsville. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+48) and the southwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+23), a spread of about 24 points.
Why Carrsville leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Carrsville, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 90% of residents in Carrsville drive to work alone, about 17 points above the U.S. average of 74%. Carrsville runs against the grain of Virginia, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Carrsville, VA sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Carrsville looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Carrsville is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 66%, about 6 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Camptown, VA R+9
- Zuni, VA R+43
- Hunterdale, VA R+38
- Franklin, VA D+19
- Corinth, VA R+40
- Windsor, VA R+37
- Orbit, VA R+32
- Whitley, VA R+46
- Sedley, VA R+40
- Vicksville, VA R+41
Cities with Similar Populations
- Grand Point, LA R+59
- Walton, IN R+56
- Climax, MI R+33
- Capon Bridge, WV R+59
- Santa Rosa, NM Even
- Shawsville, VA R+48
- Loyal, WI R+50
- Burlington, ND R+64
- Fort Yates, ND D+67
- Orrstown, PA R+65
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.