Carson leans Republican by roughly 26 points: about 37% of voters vote Democratic and 63% Republican.
About 78% of adults in Carson typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Carson, ~29% vote Democratic, ~49% Republican, and ~22% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Carson compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Carson is the most Republican-leaning.
Carson runs about 45 points more Republican than Washington as a whole. Washington leans Democratic overall, while Carson is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Carson. The west side is the most Republican-leaning (R+35) and the northwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+9), a spread of about 26 points.
Why Carson leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Carson, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Carson votes against the grain of Washington. Washington leans Democratic overall, while Carson runs about 45 points more Republican.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Carson, WA sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Carson looks the way it does
Turnout in Carson sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Stevenson, WA D+2
- Cascade Locks, OR Even
- Willard, WA Even
- North Bonneville, WA R+17
- Underwood, WA D+7
- Skamania, WA R+17
- Hood River, OR D+29
- Dee, OR D+3
- Bingen, WA D+18
Cities with Similar Populations
- Crownpoint, NM D+39
- Mattapoisett, MA D+9
- Davis Junction, IL R+33
- Goreville, IL R+52
- Williamsport, IN R+54
- Pitcairn, PA D+17
- Wildwood Crest, NJ R+23
- Madawaska, ME R+17
- Pullman, MI R+28
- Napavine, WA R+42
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Washington Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.