Carthage is a true toss-up. About 49% of voters here vote Democratic and 51% Republican.
About 56% of adults in Carthage typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Carthage, ~27% vote Democratic, ~29% Republican, and ~44% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Carthage compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Carthage sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 0 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 35 leaning the other way.
Carthage runs about 28 points more Democratic than Arkansas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Carthage. The east side runs the most Democratic (D+5) and the southeast side runs the most Republican (R+81), a spread of about 85 points.
Why Carthage leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Carthage. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Carthage, AR sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Carthage looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Carthage is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 86% of adults in Carthage have completed high school, below 76% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Tulip, AR R+57
- Princeton, AR R+10
- Ivy, AR R+60
- Lono, AR R+30
- Leola, AR R+70
- Ivan, AR R+65
- Cross Roads, AR R+78
- Ramsey, AR R+64
- Manning, AR R+16
- Grapevine, AR R+65
Cities with Similar Populations
- Birdsall, NY R+53
- West, TN R+62
- North Star, MI R+43
- Klamath River, CA R+31
- Elgin, TN R+71
- Rocky Hill, AL R+44
- Hickman, OH R+61
- Kyger, OH R+61
- Leonore, IL R+44
- Kipps, NY R+19
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arkansas Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.