Carthage is a Republican stronghold. About 23% of voters here vote Democratic and 77% Republican.
About 68% of adults in Carthage typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Carthage, ~16% vote Democratic, ~52% Republican, and ~32% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Carthage compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Carthage leans more Republican than 4 of 37 neighbors.
Carthage runs about 40 points more Republican than Texas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Carthage. The east side runs the most Democratic (D+4) and the northwest side runs the most Republican (R+67), a spread of about 72 points.
Why Carthage leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Carthage, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Carthage votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 44%, modestly above the Texas average of 35%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; Carthage, TX sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Carthage looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Carthage is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Pleasant Ridge, TX R+75
- Holland Quarters, TX R+16
- Riderville, TX R+71
- Delray, TX R+56
- Panola, TX R+74
- Daniels, TX R+77
- Beckville, TX R+66
- Gary City, TX R+73
- Clayton, TX R+79
- Gary, TX R+77
Cities with Similar Populations
- The Village, OK D+10
- Woodstock, VA R+37
- Morgan, UT R+63
- Cape St. Claire, MD D+9
- Lamesa, TX R+44
- Huntington, VA D+57
- Dayton, NJ D+23
- Nesbit, MS R+43
- Morrilton, AR R+38
- Poplarville, MS R+63
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.