Caspar leans heavily Democratic by roughly 44 points: about 72% of voters vote Democratic and 28% Republican.
About 67% of adults in Caspar typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Caspar, ~48% vote Democratic, ~19% Republican, and ~33% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Caspar compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Caspar leans more Democratic than 7 of 13 neighbors.
Caspar runs about 23 points more Democratic than California as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Caspar. The southwest side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+58) and the southeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+36), a spread of about 22 points.
Why Caspar leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Caspar, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 34% of adults in Caspar hold a bachelor's degree, about 5 points above the U.S. average of 28%.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Caspar, CA sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Caspar looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Caspar is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 69%, about 9 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 98% of adults in Caspar have completed high school, above 95% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Mendocino, CA D+61
- Noyo, CA D+32
- Fort Bragg, CA D+31
- Redwood Lodge, CA D+31
- Little River, CA D+63
- Albion, CA D+62
- Inglenook, CA D+34
- Comptche, CA D+45
- Elk, CA D+50
- Navarro, CA D+42
Cities with Similar Populations
- Bonaparte, IA R+55
- Brandsville, MO R+70
- Wells River, VT Even
- Hillsboro, WV R+49
- New Light, LA R+76
- Princeton Station, MA R+14
- Pinehurst, SC D+11
- Naylor, MO R+72
- Stockton, NY R+35
- Ranchitos, NM R+14
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.