Centerville is a Republican stronghold. About 16% of voters here vote Democratic and 84% Republican.
About 64% of adults in Centerville typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Centerville, ~10% vote Democratic, ~54% Republican, and ~36% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Centerville compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Centerville leans more Republican than 25 of 63 neighbors.
Centerville runs about 44 points more Republican than Mississippi as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Centerville. The south side is the most Republican-leaning (R+71) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+61), a spread of about 10 points.
Why Centerville leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Centerville, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 85% of households in Centerville are family households, about 18 points above the U.S. average of 67%.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Centerville, MS sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Centerville looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 92% of households in Centerville own their home, about 16 points above the Mississippi average of 77%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Guntown, MS R+67
- Corrona, MS R+71
- Baldwyn, MS R+40
- Geeville, MS R+72
- Branyan, MS R+84
- Jug Fork, MS R+69
- Graham, MS R+87
- Bethany, MS R+54
- Saltillo, MS R+59
- Blue Springs, MS R+73
Cities with Similar Populations
- Murray Store, TN R+74
- Sugar Valley, OH R+61
- Birdsall, NY R+53
- Kenvir, KY R+83
- Reamstown, PA R+40
- Rocky Hill, AL R+44
- Oriska, ND R+54
- Tallulah Falls, GA R+63
- West, TN R+62
- Leonore, IL R+44
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Mississippi Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.