Centerville is a true toss-up. About 52% of voters here vote Democratic and 48% Republican.
About 73% of adults in Centerville typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Centerville, ~38% vote Democratic, ~35% Republican, and ~27% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Centerville compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Centerville is the most Democratic-leaning.
Centerville runs about 24 points more Democratic than Montana as a whole. Montana leans Republican overall, while Centerville is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Centerville. The east side runs the most Democratic (D+6) and the northwest side runs the most Republican (R+17), a spread of about 23 points.
Why Centerville leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Centerville, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Centerville votes against the grain of Montana. Montana leans Republican overall, while Centerville runs about 24 points more Democratic.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Centerville, MT sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Centerville looks the way it does
Turnout in Centerville sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Walkerville, MT R+13
- Butte, MT Even
- Williamsburg, MT R+18
- Nissler, MT R+32
- Ramsay, MT R+32
- Floral Park, MT R+21
- Butte-Silver Bow, MT R+45
- Feely, MT R+32
- Crackerville, MT R+32
- Columbia Gardens, MT R+59
Cities with Similar Populations
- Zone, OH R+62
- Hurricane, AL R+55
- Parkville, NC R+43
- Petersburg, ND R+42
- Eva, OK R+87
- Patterson, IL R+65
- Padonia, KS R+44
- Pickard, IN R+62
- Howland, TX R+77
- Oliveburg, PA R+70
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Montana Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.