Central Business District-Buffalo is a Democratic stronghold. About 80% of voters here vote Democratic and 20% Republican.
About 40% of adults in Central Business District-Buffalo typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Central Business District-Buffalo, ~32% vote Democratic, ~8% Republican, and ~60% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Central Business District-Buffalo compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Central Business District-Buffalo leans more Democratic than 21 of 35 neighbors.
Central Business District-Buffalo runs about 48 points more Democratic than New York as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Central Business District-Buffalo. The east side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+71) and the southwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+52), a spread of about 18 points.
Why Central Business District-Buffalo leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Central Business District-Buffalo, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many never-married adults vote Democratic. About 69% of adults in Central Business District-Buffalo have never been married, well above similar-sized neighborhoods (around 47%).
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; Central Business District-Buffalo, Buffalo, NY sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Central Business District-Buffalo looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 89% of households in Central Business District-Buffalo rent, about 64 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Willert Park, Buffalo, NY D+83
- Allen, Buffalo, NY D+64
- Lakeview, Buffalo, NY D+51
- Larkinville, Buffalo, NY D+63
- Bryant, Buffalo, NY D+68
- Front Park, Buffalo, NY D+47
- Broadway-Fillmore, Buffalo, NY D+47
- Kingsley, Buffalo, NY D+84
- Delaware-West Ferry, Buffalo, NY D+67
- Babcock, Buffalo, NY D+10
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Hamlin Park, Chicago, IL D+63
- Middletown-Pelham Bay, Bronx, NY D+12
- Scioto Woods, Columbus, OH D+19
- East Isles, Minneapolis, MN D+81
- Terrace-Shurtleff, Napa, CA D+36
- East Augusta, Augusta, GA D+80
- Brookview, Waco, TX D+6
- Avalon, Albuquerque, NM D+17
- Armory Park, Tucson, AZ D+59
- Downtown Rialto, Rialto, CA D+28
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.