Centralia is a Republican stronghold. About 14% of voters here vote Democratic and 86% Republican.
About more than 99% of adults in Centralia typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Centralia, ~15% vote Democratic, ~91% Republican, and ~-6% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Centralia compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Centralia leans more Republican than 25 of 33 neighbors.
Centralia runs about 58 points more Republican than Texas as a whole.
Why Centralia leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Centralia, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 4% of residents in Centralia live in densely developed areas, about 30 points below the Texas average of 35%. A high white share with below-average college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Centralia fits that profile on both counts.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Centralia, TX sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Centralia looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. More than 99% of households in Centralia own their home, about 25 points above the Texas average of 75%. Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and Centralia sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Groveton, TX R+61
- Crecy, TX R+73
- Friday, TX R+71
- Pennington, TX R+71
- Josserand, TX R+73
- Nogalus, TX R+78
- Holly, TX R+55
- Glendale, TX R+71
- Trevat, TX R+72
- Apple Springs, TX R+53
Cities with Similar Populations
- Maysville, IA R+43
- Stiles, IA R+63
- Butte, ND R+65
- Big Rock, IA R+46
- Stockville, NE R+76
- Quitman, MO R+66
- Soda Bay, CA Even
- Plateau, NC R+61
- Oleander, CA R+37
- Rainbow Lake, NY D+20
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.