Centralville leans Democratic by roughly 20 points: about 60% of voters vote Democratic and 40% Republican.
About 48% of adults in Centralville typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Centralville, ~29% vote Democratic, ~19% Republican, and ~52% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Centralville compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Centralville leans more Democratic than 3 of 7 neighbors.
Centralville runs about 5 points more Republican than Massachusetts as a whole.
Why Centralville leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Centralville, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many never-married adults vote Democratic. About 50% of adults in Centralville have never been married, about 20 points above the U.S. average of 29%.
Park access and Democratic lean
Places with heavy park coverage tend to lean Democratic; Centralville, Lowell, MA sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in Centralville looks the way it does
High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, mostly because the housing stress common in those areas makes voting harder. Centralville sits in the top 15% nationally on a violent-crime measure. See CrimeGrade for more details. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 85% of adults in Centralville have completed high school, below 77% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Downtown Lowell, Lowell, MA D+53
- The Acre, Lowell, MA D+42
- Belvidere, Lowell, MA D+22
- Back Central, Lowell, MA D+17
- Highlands, Lowell, MA D+28
- South Lowell, Lowell, MA D+19
- Pawtucketville, Lowell, MA D+15
- Mt Vernon Park, Lawrence, MA D+10
- Frye Circle, Andover, MA D+42
- Southeast Nashua, Nashua, NH D+26
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Franklin Park, Austin, TX D+44
- Pleasure Ridge Park, Louisville, KY R+2
- Lowell, La Habra, CA Even
- Ellsworth, Elmwood Park, IL D+7
- Downtown, Atlanta, GA D+60
- Central West End, St. Louis, MO D+69
- Sunset Hill, Seattle, WA D+70
- Pinnacle Peak, Scottsdale, AZ R+22
- Asia on Argyle, Chicago, IL D+73
- Langley Park, Hyattsville, MD D+41
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Massachusetts Secretary of the Commonwealth, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.