Ellsworth leans slightly Democratic by roughly 8 points: about 54% of voters vote Democratic and 46% Republican.
About 59% of adults in Ellsworth typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Ellsworth, ~32% vote Democratic, ~27% Republican, and ~41% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Ellsworth compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Ellsworth leans more Democratic than 3 of 22 neighbors.
Politically, Ellsworth sits close to the rest of Illinois.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Ellsworth. The southeast side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+13) and the west side is the least Democratic-leaning (Even), a spread of about 12 points.
Why Ellsworth leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Ellsworth, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. More than 99% of residents in Ellsworth live in densely developed areas, about 64 points above the U.S. average of 36%.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Ellsworth, Elmwood Park, IL sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Ellsworth looks the way it does
Turnout in Ellsworth sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Montclare, Elmwood Park, IL D+21
- Dunning, Chicago, IL Even
- Schorsch, Chicago, IL D+12
- Hanson Park, Chicago, IL D+43
- Belmont Cragin, Chicago, IL D+33
- Samuel A Rothermel, Oak Park, IL D+73
- Ridgeland, Oak Park, IL D+82
- Martin Luther, Chicago, IL D+26
- Edmund F Burton, Oak Park, IL D+75
- Austin, Chicago, IL D+74
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Downtown, Atlanta, GA D+60
- Pleasure Ridge Park, Louisville, KY R+2
- Central West End, St. Louis, MO D+69
- Sunset Hill, Seattle, WA D+70
- Asia on Argyle, Chicago, IL D+73
- Original Town, Carrollton, TX D+13
- Centralville, Lowell, MA D+20
- Grogan's Mill, The Woodlands, TX R+8
- Liberty Heights, Springfield, MA D+34
- West of Twin Peaks, San Francisco, CA D+62
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Illinois State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.