San Cristobal leans Democratic by roughly 24 points: about 62% of voters vote Democratic and 38% Republican.
About 60% of adults in San Cristobal typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in San Cristobal, ~37% vote Democratic, ~23% Republican, and ~40% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How San Cristobal compares
Among cities within 25 miles, San Cristobal leans more Democratic than 5 of 23 neighbors.
San Cristobal runs about 19 points more Democratic than New Mexico as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within San Cristobal. The west side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+37) and the southeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+17), a spread of about 21 points.
Why San Cristobal leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for San Cristobal, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 54% of adults in San Cristobal hold a bachelor's degree, about 26 points above the U.S. average of 28%.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; San Cristobal, NM sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in San Cristobal looks the way it does
High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, mostly because the housing stress common in those areas makes voting harder. San Cristobal sits in the top 15% nationally on a violent-crime measure. See CrimeGrade for more details. Strong routine healthcare access lines up with higher turnout, and San Cristobal sits in the top quarter on routine-care measures. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 29% of households in San Cristobal rent, above 83% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Valdez, NM D+54
- Arroyo Hondo, NM D+39
- Arroyo Seco, NM D+58
- Questa, NM D+24
- Taos Pueblo, NM D+70
- El Prado, NM D+55
- Cerro, NM D+34
- Taos Ski Valley, NM D+37
- Ranchito, NM D+46
- Taos, NM D+50
Cities with Similar Populations
- Adams, KY R+71
- Parker Ford, PA R+12
- Delrose, TX R+69
- Big Water, UT R+66
- Nicasio, CA D+47
- Windsor, NJ D+6
- Pearls Corner, NH Even
- Mecklenburg, NY D+3
- Hickory Flat, TN R+69
- Roll, IN R+62
All Local Stats
Home Services
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Mexico Secretary of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.