Chase Mills leans heavily Republican by roughly 42 points: about 29% of voters vote Democratic and 71% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Maine did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 79% of adults in Chase Mills typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Chase Mills, ~23% vote Democratic, ~56% Republican, and ~21% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Chase Mills compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Chase Mills is the most Republican-leaning.
Chase Mills runs about 50 points more Republican than Maine as a whole. Maine leans Democratic overall, while Chase Mills is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Chase Mills leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Chase Mills, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Chase Mills votes against the grain of Maine. Maine leans Democratic overall, while Chase Mills runs about 50 points more Republican. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 82% of households in Chase Mills are family households, above 93% of cities.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Chase Mills, ME sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Chase Mills looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 98% of households in Chase Mills own their home, about 15 points above the Maine average of 83%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Buckfield, ME R+34
- Sumner, ME R+42
- North Buckfield, ME R+38
- North Turner, ME R+38
- Canton, ME R+32
- East Buckfield, ME R+30
- Livermore, ME R+36
- Turner, ME R+37
- West Leeds, ME R+37
- Canton Point, ME R+32
Cities with Similar Populations
- Lake Harmony, PA R+31
- Pink, PA R+43
- Portland, PA R+34
- Hibbs, PA R+39
- Eskdale, WV R+56
- River Hill, TN R+70
- Rock Creek, KS R+49
- Copeland, FL R+55
- Hustontown, PA R+75
- North Greenfield, OH R+65
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Maine Secretary of State, Bureau of Corporations Elections and Commissions, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. ME did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.