Chesterfield leans heavily Republican by roughly 36 points: about 32% of voters vote Democratic and 68% Republican.
About 72% of adults in Chesterfield typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Chesterfield, ~23% vote Democratic, ~49% Republican, and ~28% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Chesterfield compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Chesterfield leans more Republican than 10 of 88 neighbors.
Chesterfield runs about 17 points more Republican than Indiana as a whole.
Why Chesterfield leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Chesterfield, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Chesterfield votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 47%, well above the Indiana average of 25%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Chesterfield sits in the bottom quarter (about 13%, below 84% of cities).
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Chesterfield, IN sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Chesterfield looks the way it does
Turnout in Chesterfield sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Daleville, IN R+44
- Anderson, IN R+14
- Middletown, IN R+53
- Edgewood, IN R+21
- Yorktown, IN R+25
- Progress, IN R+48
- Honey Creek, IN R+57
- Markleville, IN R+48
- Moonville, IN R+52
Cities with Similar Populations
- Pomona Park, FL R+58
- Hudson, IL R+36
- Melbourne, KY R+46
- Buckeye Lake, OH R+38
- Walterhill, TN R+48
- Sullivan, OH R+57
- Chackbay, LA R+80
- Hatch, NM Even
- Odum, GA R+81
- Log Lane Village, CO R+58
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Indiana Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.