Hatch is a true toss-up. About 50% of voters here vote Democratic and 50% Republican.
About 41% of adults in Hatch typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Hatch, ~20% vote Democratic, ~21% Republican, and ~59% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Hatch compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Hatch sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 0 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 8 leaning the other way.
Hatch runs about 6 points more Republican than New Mexico as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Hatch. The southwest side runs the most Democratic (D+5) and the south side runs the most Republican (R+7), a spread of about 12 points.
Why Hatch leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Hatch. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with low colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Hatch, NM sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Hatch looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Hatch is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 46%, about 12 points below the New Mexico average of 58%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 36% of households in Hatch rent, compared to around 15% in nearby cities. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 42% of adults in Hatch report food insecurity, in the top fraction of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Salem, NM Even
- Rodey, NM R+11
- Rincon, NM R+3
- Garfield, NM Even
- Derry, NM R+29
- Radium Springs, NM R+15
- Arrey, NM R+22
- Caballo, NM R+36
- Fairacres, NM R+20
- Dona Ana, NM R+17
Cities with Similar Populations
- Odum, GA R+81
- Upper Lake, CA R+7
- Chackbay, LA R+80
- Walterhill, TN R+48
- Buckeye Lake, OH R+38
- Petersburg, TN R+70
- Hudson, IL R+36
- Pomona Park, FL R+58
- Loretto, MN R+21
- Chesterfield, IN R+36
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Mexico Secretary of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.