Melbourne leans heavily Republican by roughly 46 points: about 27% of voters vote Democratic and 73% Republican.
About 91% of adults in Melbourne typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Melbourne, ~24% vote Democratic, ~66% Republican, and ~10% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Melbourne compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Melbourne leans more Republican than 88 of 154 neighbors.
Melbourne runs about 15 points more Republican than Kentucky as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Melbourne. The east side is the most Republican-leaning (R+56) and the northwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+35), a spread of about 20 points.
Why Melbourne leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Melbourne, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Melbourne votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 21%, about 16 points below the U.S. average of 36%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Melbourne, KY sits above the national average on this measure.
Why turnout in Melbourne looks the way it does
Turnout in Melbourne sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Silver Grove, KY R+35
- Crestview, KY R+31
- Cold Spring, KY R+25
- Carthage, KY R+51
- Alexandria, KY R+43
- Highland Heights, KY R+12
- Mount Pisgah, OH R+49
- Ryland Heights, KY R+50
- Tylor Mill, KY R+45
- New Richmond, OH R+50
Cities with Similar Populations
- Sullivan, OH R+57
- Pomona Park, FL R+58
- Chesterfield, IN R+36
- Hudson, IL R+36
- Dale, IN R+51
- Chackbay, LA R+80
- Walterhill, TN R+48
- Buckeye Lake, OH R+38
- Pangburn, AR R+73
- Log Lane Village, CO R+58
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Kentucky State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.