Chestnut Park leans heavily Democratic by roughly 42 points: about 71% of voters vote Democratic and 29% Republican.
About 45% of adults in Chestnut Park typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Chestnut Park, ~32% vote Democratic, ~13% Republican, and ~55% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Chestnut Park compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Chestnut Park leans more Democratic than 4 of 12 neighbors.
Chestnut Park runs about 36 points more Democratic than New Jersey as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Chestnut Park. The northwest side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+47) and the southwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+31), a spread of about 16 points.
Why Chestnut Park leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Chestnut Park. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Chestnut Park, Trenton, NJ sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Chestnut Park looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Chestnut Park is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 48%, about 19 points below the New Jersey average of 67%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 31% of adults in Chestnut Park report food insecurity, above 83% of neighborhoods. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and Chestnut Park sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- South Trenton, Trenton, NJ D+45
- Franklin Park, Trenton, NJ D+34
- Chambersburg, Trenton, NJ D+39
- Greenwood and Hamilton, Trenton, NJ D+64
- Villa Park, Trenton, NJ D+39
- Wilbur, Trenton, NJ D+70
- Downtown Trenton, Trenton, NJ D+76
- Central West, Trenton, NJ D+79
- North Trenton, Trenton, NJ D+79
- Top Road, Trenton, NJ D+36
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Whittier, Denver, CO D+79
- North Garrett Road, Durham, NC D+58
- Castlegate, San Tan Valley, AZ R+32
- Avondale, Sacramento, CA D+28
- Little Flower, Indianapolis, IN D+46
- Islandview, Detroit, MI D+81
- Northwestern Denver, Denver, CO D+48
- Corcoran, Minneapolis, MN D+78
- Cuesta Park, Mountain View, CA D+40
- Westside Development, Tucson, AZ D+27
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Jersey Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.