Church Creek is a Republican stronghold. About 24% of voters here vote Democratic and 76% Republican.
About 75% of adults in Church Creek typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Church Creek, ~18% vote Democratic, ~57% Republican, and ~25% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Church Creek compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Church Creek leans more Republican than 78 of 86 neighbors.
Church Creek runs about 82 points more Republican than Maryland as a whole. Maryland leans Democratic overall, while Church Creek is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Church Creek leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Church Creek, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 4% of residents in Church Creek live in densely developed areas, about 39 points below the Maryland average of 43%. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 78% of households in Church Creek are family households, above 85% of cities. Church Creek runs against the grain of Maryland, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Never-married share, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine a low never-married share and a rural land-use pattern tend to turn out at a higher rate, as Church Creek, MD does.
Why turnout in Church Creek looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Church Creek is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 63%, above 59% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Woolford, MD R+51
- Madison, MD R+50
- Dailsville, MD R+35
- Christs Rock, MD D+33
- Jacktown, MD R+41
- Golden Hill, MD R+55
- Bucktown, MD R+53
- Cambridge, MD D+18
- Lloyds, MD R+30
Cities with Similar Populations
- Montauk Beach, NY D+13
- Millwood, VA R+17
- Pireway, NC R+43
- Margaret, WV R+61
- Hankins, NY R+17
- Hanfield, IN R+59
- Hancock, VT D+17
- Hardy, IA R+54
- Jordan, IA R+25
- Upham, ND R+72
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Maryland State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.