Church Hill is a Republican stronghold. About 18% of voters here vote Democratic and 82% Republican.
About 83% of adults in Church Hill typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Church Hill, ~15% vote Democratic, ~68% Republican, and ~17% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Church Hill compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Church Hill leans more Republican than 56 of 99 neighbors.
Church Hill runs about 61 points more Republican than Pennsylvania as a whole.
Why Church Hill leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Church Hill. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Housing overcrowding and voter turnout
Places with low overcrowding tend to turn out at a higher rate; Church Hill, PA sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Church Hill looks the way it does
Turnout in Church Hill sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Mercersburg, PA R+58
- Upton, PA R+59
- Williamson, PA R+62
- Welsh Run, PA R+65
- Dutchtown, PA R+64
- Greencastle, PA R+46
- St. Thomas, PA R+61
- Milnor, PA R+42
- Fort Loudon, PA R+67
- Sylvan, PA R+67
Cities with Similar Populations
- Rush River, MN R+45
- Duff, IN R+52
- Bond, LA R+68
- Monroe City, TX R+40
- Draughn, NC D+9
- Greer, OH R+69
- Milo, IN R+56
- Stratton, OH R+54
- Klau, CA R+19
- Throckmorton, TN R+68
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Pennsylvania Department of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.