Church Hill is a Democratic stronghold. About 87% of voters here vote Democratic and 13% Republican.
About 72% of adults in Church Hill typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Church Hill, ~63% vote Democratic, ~9% Republican, and ~28% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Church Hill compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Church Hill leans more Democratic than 12 of 16 neighbors.
Church Hill runs about 68 points more Democratic than Virginia as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Church Hill. The northeast side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+80) and the northwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+67), a spread of about 12 points.
Why Church Hill leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Church Hill, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 62% of adults in Church Hill hold a bachelor's degree, about 34 points above the U.S. average of 28%.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Church Hill, Richmond, VA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Church Hill looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Church Hill is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 69%, about 9 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Shockoe Bottom, Richmond, VA D+65
- Creighton, Richmond, VA D+84
- Fulton, Montrose Heights, VA D+77
- Old Town Manchester, Richmond, VA D+64
- Monroe Ward, Richmond, VA D+56
- VCU, Richmond, VA D+71
- Carver-Richmond, Richmond, VA D+70
- Bellemeade, Richmond, VA D+82
- Swansboro, Richmond, VA D+78
- The Fan, Richmond, VA D+65
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Oak Park, Des Moines, IA D+27
- Wedgemere Historic District, Winchester, MA D+52
- Holden-Parramore, Orlando, FL D+71
- Sunset Hills, Pittsburgh, PA D+34
- Washington Park Historic District, North Plainfield, NJ D+25
- Saint Joseph, Louisville, KY D+51
- Glen Elder, Sacramento, CA D+26
- Fairfield, Erie, PA R+4
- New Village, New River, AZ R+30
- Miramar, Jacksonville, FL R+12
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.