New Village leans heavily Republican by roughly 30 points: about 35% of voters vote Democratic and 65% Republican.
About 74% of adults in New Village typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in New Village, ~26% vote Democratic, ~48% Republican, and ~26% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How New Village compares
New Village runs about 25 points more Republican than Arizona as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within New Village. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+42) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+28), a spread of about 14 points.
Why New Village leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for New Village, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 81% of households in New Village are family households, about 15 points above the U.S. average of 67%. Rural areas vote Republican, and New Village sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 38%, below 91% of neighborhoods).
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; New Village, New River, AZ sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in New Village looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 85% of households in New Village own their home, about 12 points above the Arizona average of 73%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- North Gateway, Phoenix, AZ R+14
- Desert Hills, Cave Creek, AZ R+23
- Vistancia, Peoria, AZ R+21
- Desert View, Phoenix, AZ R+12
- Camino Lago, Phoenix, AZ R+27
- Deer Valley, Phoenix, AZ R+8
- Pinnacle Peak, Scottsdale, AZ R+22
- Ventana Lakes, Peoria, AZ R+24
- Peacock Village, Peoria, AZ R+17
- Cactus Gale, Glendale, AZ R+11
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Fairfield, Erie, PA R+4
- Cedar-Isles-Dean, Minneapolis, MN D+65
- Wilmington Historic District, Wilmington, OH R+27
- Arrowhead, Jacksonville, FL R+16
- Pioneer Park, Des Moines, IA D+22
- Babcock, Buffalo, NY D+10
- Washington Park Historic District, North Plainfield, NJ D+25
- Pleasant Acres, New Milford, NJ Even
- Wedgemere Historic District, Winchester, MA D+52
- Oak Park, Des Moines, IA D+27
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arizona Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.