Shockoe Bottom is a Democratic stronghold. About 83% of voters here vote Democratic and 17% Republican.
About 69% of adults in Shockoe Bottom typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Shockoe Bottom, ~57% vote Democratic, ~12% Republican, and ~31% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Shockoe Bottom compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Shockoe Bottom leans more Democratic than 7 of 16 neighbors.
Shockoe Bottom runs about 59 points more Democratic than Virginia as a whole.
Why Shockoe Bottom leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Shockoe Bottom, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 61% of adults in Shockoe Bottom hold a bachelor's degree, about 32 points above the U.S. average of 28%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 58% of adults in Shockoe Bottom have never been married, above 92% of neighborhoods.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Shockoe Bottom, Richmond, VA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Shockoe Bottom looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Shockoe Bottom is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 71%, about 11 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Church Hill, Richmond, VA D+74
- Old Town Manchester, Richmond, VA D+64
- Monroe Ward, Richmond, VA D+56
- Creighton, Richmond, VA D+84
- Fulton, Montrose Heights, VA D+77
- VCU, Richmond, VA D+71
- Carver-Richmond, Richmond, VA D+70
- Bellemeade, Richmond, VA D+82
- Swansboro, Richmond, VA D+78
- The Fan, Richmond, VA D+65
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Claremont Cottages, Chicago, IL D+71
- Belview Heights, Birmingham, AL D+90
- Downtown, Prosser, WA R+20
- McClure Park, Tulsa, OK D+3
- Bel Aire, Wheat Ridge, CO D+23
- Central Brambleton, Norfolk, VA D+84
- Terrell Wells, San Antonio, TX D+22
- Greens of McKinney, McKinney, TX R+2
- Craig Farms, Port Orange, FL R+31
- Crossroads-Riverbank, Riverbank, CA R+19
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.