Monroe Ward is a Democratic stronghold. About 78% of voters here vote Democratic and 22% Republican.
About 45% of adults in Monroe Ward typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Monroe Ward, ~35% vote Democratic, ~10% Republican, and ~55% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Monroe Ward compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Monroe Ward leans more Democratic than 4 of 19 neighbors.
Monroe Ward runs about 51 points more Democratic than Virginia as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Monroe Ward. The southwest side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+66) and the northwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+55), a spread of about 11 points.
Why Monroe Ward leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Monroe Ward, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many never-married adults vote Democratic. About 85% of adults in Monroe Ward have never been married, far above similar-sized neighborhoods (around 43%). Density combined with diversity predicts Democratic voting, and non-Hispanic white share in Monroe Ward is about 42%, about 31 points below the U.S. average of 72%.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Monroe Ward, Richmond, VA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Monroe Ward looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. More than 99% of households in Monroe Ward rent, about 74 points above the U.S. average of 25%. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and Monroe Ward sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- VCU, Richmond, VA D+71
- Carver-Richmond, Richmond, VA D+70
- The Fan, Richmond, VA D+65
- Shockoe Bottom, Richmond, VA D+65
- Old Town Manchester, Richmond, VA D+64
- Church Hill, Richmond, VA D+74
- The Museum District, Richmond, VA D+65
- Creighton, Richmond, VA D+84
- Swansboro, Richmond, VA D+78
- Reedy Creek, Richmond, VA D+70
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Lincoln Park-Buffalo, Tonawanda, NY D+16
- Keewaydin, Minneapolis, MN D+65
- San Tan Ranch, Gilbert, AZ R+16
- City Center, Toledo, OH D+58
- Weller, Springfield, MO D+8
- Tucson Park West, Tucson, AZ D+37
- Avondale, Everett, WA D+20
- Downtown Lynn Haven, Lynn Haven, FL R+35
- City Center, Miami Beach, FL D+14
- Delman, San Bernardino, CA D+25
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.