New Canton is a Republican stronghold. About 17% of voters here vote Democratic and 83% Republican.
About 61% of adults in New Canton typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in New Canton, ~10% vote Democratic, ~51% Republican, and ~39% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How New Canton compares
Among cities within 25 miles, New Canton leans more Republican than 28 of 77 neighbors.
New Canton runs about 37 points more Republican than Tennessee as a whole.
Why New Canton leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for New Canton, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In New Canton, about 96% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 24 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 10% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 12 points below the Tennessee average of 22%. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 77% of households in New Canton are family households, above 83% of cities.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with low colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a lower rate; New Canton, TN sits below the national average on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in New Canton looks the way it does
Turnout in New Canton sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Church Hill, TN R+64
- Mount Carmel, TN R+61
- Stony Point, TN R+70
- Christian Bend, TN R+73
- Surgoinsville, TN R+71
- Goshen, TN R+75
- Honeycutt, TN R+74
- Clinchport, VA R+76
- Independence, TN R+75
Cities with Similar Populations
- New Effington, SD R+47
- New Garden, OH R+57
- Santee, NE R+9
- East St. Johnsbury, VT R+10
- Hernshaw, WV R+59
- Elbe, WA R+34
- Grants Lick, KY R+55
- White Oak Flat, TN R+64
- Ranshaw, PA R+56
- West Hollis, ME R+29
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Tennessee Secretary of State, Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.