Cibola County leans slightly Democratic by roughly 10 points: about 55% of voters vote Democratic and 45% Republican.
About 54% of adults in Cibola County typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Cibola County, ~30% vote Democratic, ~24% Republican, and ~46% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Cibola County compares
Politically, Cibola County sits close to the rest of New Mexico.
Politics vary noticeably by city within Cibola County. The southeast side runs the most Democratic (D+64) and the northwest side runs the most Republican (R+43), a spread of about 107 points.
Why Cibola County leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per county to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Cibola County, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many never-married adults vote Democratic. About 44% of adults in Cibola County have never been married, modestly above similar-sized counties (around 30%).
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with low colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Cibola County, NM sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Cibola County looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Cibola County is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 28% of adults in Cibola County report food insecurity, above 95% of counties. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Counties
- McKinley County, NM D+27
- Valencia County, NM R+13
- Sandoval County, NM D+4
- Bernalillo County, NM D+21
- Socorro County, NM Even
- Catron County, NM R+36
- Apache County, AZ D+30
- Torrance County, NM R+36
- Los Alamos County, NM D+27
- Santa Fe County, NM D+45
Counties with Similar Populations
- West Baton Rouge Parish, LA R+9
- San Miguel County, NM D+24
- McDonough County, IL R+11
- Union County, SC R+28
- Fluvanna County, VA R+16
- Pike County, OH R+58
- Iroquois County, IL R+48
- Toombs County, GA R+34
- White County, TN R+66
- Tillamook County, OR R+9
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Mexico Secretary of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.