Circleville, NY Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Circleville

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Circleville leans slightly Republican by roughly 6 points: about 47% of voters vote Democratic and 53% Republican.

 

About 58% of adults in Circleville typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Circleville, ~27% vote Democratic, ~31% Republican, and ~42% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Circleville compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Circleville leans more Republican than 37 of 137 neighbors.

Circleville runs about 19 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Circleville is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Circleville. The northeast side is the most split-leaning (R+22) and the south side is the least split-leaning (Even), a spread of about 20 points.

Why Circleville leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Circleville, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Circleville votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 22%, modestly below the New York average of 36%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. Circleville runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.

Never-married share, developed land, and voter turnout

Places that combine a never-married-heavy adult population and a heavily developed built environment tend to turn out at a lower rate, as Circleville, NY does.

Why turnout in Circleville looks the way it does

Turnout in Circleville sits close to the national pattern. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

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Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.