Clarence, NY Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Clarence

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Clarence leans slightly Republican by roughly 10 points: about 45% of voters vote Democratic and 55% Republican.

 

About 87% of adults in Clarence typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Clarence, ~39% vote Democratic, ~48% Republican, and ~13% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Clarence compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Clarence leans more Republican than 20 of 109 neighbors.

Clarence runs about 22 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Clarence is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Clarence. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+24) and the northwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+5), a spread of about 19 points.

Why Clarence leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Clarence, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Clarence votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 54%, well above the New York average of 36%). Here an older population outweighs the Democratic lean that density usually predicts. Clarence runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.

Food insecurity and voter turnout

Places with low food insecurity tend to turn out at a higher rate; Clarence, NY sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Food insecurity does not directly drive turnout; it reflects economic hardship, which lines up with lower voting.

Why turnout in Clarence looks the way it does

Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Clarence is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 74%, about 14 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 96% of adults in Clarence have completed high school, above 87% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.