Chestnut Ridge, NY Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Chestnut Ridge

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Chestnut Ridge leans heavily Republican by roughly 30 points: about 35% of voters vote Democratic and 65% Republican.

 

About 85% of adults in Chestnut Ridge typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Chestnut Ridge, ~30% vote Democratic, ~55% Republican, and ~15% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Chestnut Ridge compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Chestnut Ridge leans more Republican than 259 of 270 neighbors.

Chestnut Ridge runs about 43 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Chestnut Ridge is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Chestnut Ridge. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+53) and the south side is the least Republican-leaning (R+18), a spread of about 35 points.

Why Chestnut Ridge leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Chestnut Ridge, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Chestnut Ridge votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 81%, far above the New York average of 36%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 78% of households in Chestnut Ridge are family households, above 84% of cities. Chestnut Ridge runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.

Cancer-screening access and voter turnout

Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Chestnut Ridge, NY sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.

Why turnout in Chestnut Ridge looks the way it does

Turnout in Chestnut Ridge sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.