Clear Lake Shores leans Republican by roughly 22 points: about 39% of voters vote Democratic and 61% Republican.
About 71% of adults in Clear Lake Shores typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Clear Lake Shores, ~28% vote Democratic, ~43% Republican, and ~29% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Clear Lake Shores compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Clear Lake Shores leans more Republican than 24 of 49 neighbors.
Clear Lake Shores runs about 8 points more Republican than Texas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Clear Lake Shores. The east side is the most split-leaning (R+31) and the south side is the least split-leaning (R+2), a spread of about 28 points.
Why Clear Lake Shores leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Clear Lake Shores, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Clear Lake Shores votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 77%, far above the Texas average of 35%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Clear Lake Shores, TX sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Clear Lake Shores looks the way it does
Areas with high high-school completion turn out at higher rates. About 96% of adults in Clear Lake Shores have completed high school, about 10 points above the Texas average of 86%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Kemah, TX R+26
- El Lago, TX R+21
- Seabrook, TX R+27
- Taylor Lake Village, TX R+23
- Nassau Bay, TX R+6
- Bacliff, TX R+21
- League City, TX R+21
- Shoreacres, TX R+46
- Dickinson, TX R+12
- Webster, TX D+6
Cities with Similar Populations
- Stamping Ground, KY R+52
- Peridot, AZ D+49
- Zionville, NC R+37
- Hornsby Bend, TX D+36
- Princeton, WI R+40
- Auburn, KS R+40
- Newfoundland, NJ R+28
- Topton, PA R+23
- New Athens, IL R+48
- Mechanic Falls, ME R+34
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.