El Lago leans Republican by roughly 22 points: about 39% of voters vote Democratic and 61% Republican.
About 61% of adults in El Lago typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in El Lago, ~24% vote Democratic, ~37% Republican, and ~39% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How El Lago compares
Among cities within 25 miles, El Lago leans more Republican than 23 of 50 neighbors.
El Lago runs about 7 points more Republican than Texas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within El Lago. The north side is the most Republican-leaning (R+32) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+17), a spread of about 15 points.
Why El Lago leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for El Lago, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
El Lago votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 88%, far above the Texas average of 35%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
High-school completion, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine low high-school-completion share and a heavily developed built environment tend to turn out at a lower rate, as El Lago, TX does.
Why turnout in El Lago looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. El Lago is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 46% of households in El Lago rent, about 21 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Seabrook, TX R+27
- Taylor Lake Village, TX R+23
- Clear Lake Shores, TX R+22
- Kemah, TX R+26
- Nassau Bay, TX R+6
- Shoreacres, TX R+46
- Bacliff, TX R+21
- Webster, TX D+6
- League City, TX R+21
- La Porte, TX R+36
Cities with Similar Populations
- Ketchum, ID D+29
- Burbank, WA R+54
- Welcome, NC R+54
- Ignacio, CO R+18
- Port Barre, LA R+59
- Nescopeck, PA R+42
- Cadiz, OH R+47
- Ballinger, TX R+58
- Eufaula, OK R+43
- Taylorsville, GA R+76
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.