Dickinson leans slightly Republican by roughly 12 points: about 44% of voters vote Democratic and 56% Republican.
About 55% of adults in Dickinson typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Dickinson, ~24% vote Democratic, ~31% Republican, and ~45% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Dickinson compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Dickinson leans more Republican than 19 of 47 neighbors.
Politically, Dickinson sits close to the rest of Texas.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Dickinson. The northwest side runs the most Democratic (D+29) and the southeast side runs the most Republican (R+25), a spread of about 53 points.
Why Dickinson leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Dickinson, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dickinson votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 79%, far above the Texas average of 35%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 76% of households in Dickinson are family households, above 79% of cities.
Never-married share, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine a never-married-heavy adult population and a heavily developed built environment tend to turn out at a lower rate, as Dickinson, TX does.
Why turnout in Dickinson looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Dickinson is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The uninsured rate here is about 20%, about 10 points above the U.S. average of 10%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 30% of households in Dickinson rent, above 84% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- League City, TX R+21
- Bacliff, TX R+21
- Kemah, TX R+26
- Clear Lake Shores, TX R+22
- Nassau Bay, TX R+6
- Santa Fe, TX R+56
- San Leon, TX R+26
- La Marque, TX D+11
- Texas City, TX D+10
- Webster, TX D+6
Cities with Similar Populations
- Jonesborough, TN R+55
- Belmont, CA D+53
- Maumee, OH R+3
- Arroyo Grande, CA D+3
- Fleming Island, FL R+34
- Auburndale, FL R+36
- Vestal, NY D+20
- Lake Magdalene, FL R+8
- Haymarket, VA Even
- Glen Cove, NY Even
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.