Bacliff leans Republican by roughly 20 points: about 40% of voters vote Democratic and 60% Republican.
About 50% of adults in Bacliff typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Bacliff, ~20% vote Democratic, ~30% Republican, and ~50% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Bacliff compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Bacliff leans more Republican than 16 of 45 neighbors.
Bacliff runs about 7 points more Republican than Texas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Bacliff. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+30) and the southwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+14), a spread of about 16 points.
Why Bacliff leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Bacliff, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Bacliff votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 84%, far above the Texas average of 35%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Bacliff, TX sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Bacliff looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Bacliff is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 44%, about 9 points below the Texas average of 54%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 39% of households in Bacliff rent, above 94% of cities. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 80% of adults in Bacliff have completed high school, below 90% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- San Leon, TX R+26
- Clear Lake Shores, TX R+22
- Kemah, TX R+26
- Dickinson, TX R+12
- Seabrook, TX R+27
- El Lago, TX R+21
- League City, TX R+21
- Taylor Lake Village, TX R+23
- Nassau Bay, TX R+6
- Texas City, TX D+10
Cities with Similar Populations
- Duncansville, PA R+42
- Franklinville, NJ R+28
- Sunset Hills, MO R+9
- Yreka, CA R+23
- Henrietta, NY D+12
- Hawthorn Woods, IL D+3
- Lake Bluff, IL D+22
- Lacombe, LA R+32
- Hyrum, UT R+51
- Edenton, NC R+5
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.