Clinton is a Democratic stronghold. About 79% of voters here vote Democratic and 21% Republican.
About 37% of adults in Clinton typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Clinton, ~29% vote Democratic, ~8% Republican, and ~63% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Clinton compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Clinton leans more Democratic than 8 of 64 neighbors.
Clinton runs about 38 points more Democratic than California as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Clinton. The northwest side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+65) and the southwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+51), a spread of about 14 points.
Why Clinton leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Clinton, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. More than 99% of residents in Clinton live in densely developed areas, about 64 points above the U.S. average of 36%.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Clinton, Oakland, CA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Clinton looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 83% of households in Clinton rent, about 58 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout, and about 15% of homes in Clinton have more than one occupant per room, above 96% of neighborhoods. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and Clinton sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Merritt, Oakland, CA D+64
- Highland Terrace, Oakland, CA D+55
- Rancho San Antonio, Oakland, CA D+50
- Cleveland Heights, Oakland, CA D+74
- Lynn-Highland Park, Oakland, CA D+62
- Reservoir Hills, Oakland, CA D+53
- Trestle Glen, Oakland, CA D+80
- Lakewide, Oakland, CA D+75
- Jingletown, Oakland, CA D+55
- Adams Point, Oakland, CA D+82
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- New Tampa, Tampa, FL D+14
- Highlands Historic District, State College, PA D+36
- Angelo Heights, San Angelo, TX R+22
- Flagler Heights, Fort Lauderdale, FL D+20
- Lakewood Springs, Plano, IL Even
- Spirit Valley-Denfeld-Norton Park, Duluth, MN D+20
- Near N Valley, Albuquerque, NM D+42
- Lely Resort, Naples, FL R+15
- Tenney-Lapham, Madison, WI D+82
- Pinellas Point, St. Petersburg, FL D+48
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.