Colerain leans slightly Republican by roughly 8 points: about 46% of voters vote Democratic and 54% Republican.
About 83% of adults in Colerain typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Colerain, ~38% vote Democratic, ~45% Republican, and ~17% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Colerain compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Colerain leans more Republican than 32 of 55 neighbors.
Colerain runs about 4 points more Republican than North Carolina as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Colerain. The northwest side runs the most Democratic (D+45) and the southwest side runs the most Republican (R+33), a spread of about 77 points.
Why Colerain leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Colerain, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 5% of residents in Colerain live in densely developed areas, about 22 points below the North Carolina average of 27%. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Colerain sits in the bottom quarter (about 15%, below 77% of cities).
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Colerain, NC sits below the national average on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Colerain looks the way it does
Turnout in Colerain sits close to the national pattern. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Trap, NC D+8
- Goose Pond, NC R+12
- Perrytown, NC R+19
- Powellsville, NC D+35
- Askewville, NC R+33
- Harrellsville, NC R+11
- Todds Crossroads, NC R+25
- St. John, NC D+35
- Rockyhock, NC R+51
Cities with Similar Populations
- Shady Rest, FL D+47
- Hollywood, AL R+72
- Saluda, VA R+30
- Taylor, WI R+33
- Boling, TX R+51
- Garfield, TX R+8
- Talona, GA R+65
- Valle Vista, AZ R+55
- Arena, WI R+4
- Houghton, NY R+25
All Local Stats
Home Services
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from North Carolina State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.