Garfield leans slightly Republican by roughly 8 points: about 46% of voters vote Democratic and 54% Republican.
About 56% of adults in Garfield typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Garfield, ~26% vote Democratic, ~30% Republican, and ~44% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Garfield compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Garfield leans more Republican than 25 of 51 neighbors.
Garfield runs about 6 points more Democratic than Texas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Garfield. The west side runs the most Democratic (D+15) and the southeast side runs the most Republican (R+30), a spread of about 45 points.
Why Garfield leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Garfield, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 82% of households in Garfield are family households, about 16 points above the U.S. average of 67%.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with low colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Garfield, TX sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Garfield looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Garfield is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The uninsured rate here is about 24%, about 5 points above the Texas average of 19%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Del Valle, TX D+20
- Hornsby Bend, TX D+36
- Webberville, TX D+5
- Cedar Creek, TX R+19
- Elroy, TX D+7
- Utley, TX R+31
- Wyldwood, TX R+16
- Creedmoor, TX D+29
- Mustang Ridge, TX D+3
- Manor, TX D+30
Cities with Similar Populations
- Boling, TX R+51
- Talona, GA R+65
- West Milford, WV R+60
- Colerain, NC R+7
- Lansing, IA R+27
- Hollywood, AL R+72
- Arena, WI R+4
- Valle Vista, AZ R+55
- East Point, KY R+68
- Shady Rest, FL D+47
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.