Conchas Dam leans heavily Republican by roughly 42 points: about 29% of voters vote Democratic and 71% Republican.
About 35% of adults in Conchas Dam typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Conchas Dam, ~10% vote Democratic, ~25% Republican, and ~65% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Conchas Dam compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Conchas Dam leans more Republican than 3 of 4 neighbors.
Conchas Dam runs about 48 points more Republican than New Mexico as a whole. New Mexico leans Democratic overall, while Conchas Dam is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Conchas Dam leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Conchas Dam, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. Fewer than 1% of residents in Conchas Dam live in densely developed areas, about 17 points below the New Mexico average of 18%. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Conchas Dam sits in the bottom quarter (about 9%, below 95% of cities). Conchas Dam runs against the grain of New Mexico, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Conchas Dam, NM sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Conchas Dam looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Conchas Dam is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The uninsured rate here is about 22%, about 6 points above the New Mexico average of 16%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 27% of adults in Conchas Dam report food insecurity, above 93% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Garita, NM R+15
- Trementina, NM R+28
- Solano, NM R+41
- Trujillo, NM R+33
- Tucumcari, NM R+19
- Quay, NM R+73
- Mosquero, NM R+37
Cities with Similar Populations
- Piggtown, MS R+42
- Monse, WA R+25
- Choctaw, LA R+81
- Unityville, SD R+52
- Dexter, TX R+76
- Lawshe, OH R+63
- Shirley, SC D+47
- Tiller Crossroads, AL R+50
- Hepler, KS R+63
- Thornton, ID R+66
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Mexico Secretary of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.