Conewango Valley, NY Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Conewango Valley

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Conewango Valley is a Republican stronghold. About 23% of voters here vote Democratic and 77% Republican.

 

About 55% of adults in Conewango Valley typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Conewango Valley, ~13% vote Democratic, ~42% Republican, and ~45% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Conewango Valley compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Conewango Valley leans more Republican than 93 of 95 neighbors.

Conewango Valley runs about 67 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Conewango Valley is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.

Why Conewango Valley leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Conewango Valley, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In Conewango Valley, about 97% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 24 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 12% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 22 points below the New York average of 34%. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 76% of households in Conewango Valley are family households, above 78% of cities. Conewango Valley runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.

Park access and Republican lean

Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; Conewango Valley, NY sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.

Why turnout in Conewango Valley looks the way it does

Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout. About 9% of homes in Conewango Valley have more than one occupant per room, above 96% of cities. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 70% of adults in Conewango Valley have completed high school, below 98% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

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Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.