Leon is a Republican stronghold. About 21% of voters here vote Democratic and 79% Republican.
About 50% of adults in Leon typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Leon, ~10% vote Democratic, ~40% Republican, and ~50% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Leon compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Leon is the most Republican-leaning.
Leon runs about 71 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Leon is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Leon leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Leon, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In Leon, about 96% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 24 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 10% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 24 points below the New York average of 34%. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 81% of households in Leon are family households, above 92% of cities. Leon runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; Leon, NY sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in Leon looks the way it does
Areas with high food insecurity turn out at lower rates. About 21% of adults in Leon report food insecurity, above 83% of cities. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 61% of adults in Leon have completed high school, in the bottom fraction of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Conewango Valley, NY R+55
- East Leon, NY R+55
- Conewango, NY R+51
- Cherry Creek, NY R+48
- South Dayton, NY R+49
- Clear Creek, NY R+51
- Wesley, NY R+48
- Ellington, NY R+51
- New Albion, NY R+49
- Randolph, NY R+42
Cities with Similar Populations
- Favonia, VA R+60
- Poynor, TX R+44
- Circleville, UT R+79
- Shepherd, MS R+16
- Brighton Beach, SC R+29
- Callaway, MN R+48
- Churchton, MD R+13
- Silver City, NC D+7
- Preston, WA D+28
- Nisbet, IN R+48
All Local Stats
Home Services
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.